6/8 FanDuel MLB: Notorious’ Top Stacks (by billsfan777?!)

by billsfan777

Glean insight from one of the game’s best in Notorious’ MLB Top Stacks (2013 DraftDay Baseball Champion). Each day “the Talented Mr. Noto” will provide you with his Top 3 teams to stacks on FanDuel.

To take it one-step further, he’ll give you two stacks (groupings of 3-4 players): 1 Premium Stack, and 1 Value Stack. Top Stacks are posted every day there are 4 or more MLB Games, and the picks & analysis will be posted daily by 10 AM EST or 2 PM EST 1

Note: EMac, JMBWngFn & BillsFan777 handle MLB Premium Content on the weekends.

Sunday, June 8th

Early Game Slate Day –

Team Stack Target #1 – Cleveland Indians (-104 ML, 9.5 O/U)

Premium Stack

Cleveland Indians vs. Saunders – (LEFT)
Player #1	Player #2	Player #3	Player #4
Asdrubal Cabrera	Ryan Raburn	Carlos Santana	Michael Brantley
$3,200	$2,700	$3,400	$3,800
Total Salary	Avg $/Player	% of Sal. Cap	Min $ Player
$13,100	$3,275	37.43%	$2,700

• Joe Saunders vs. LHB – 0.253 wOBA Against
• Joe Saunders vs. RHB – 0.414 wOBA Against

As you can see by Joe Saunders wOBA vs righties, righties crush the daylights out of Saunders. The Indians struggle vs lefties as a team, but a healthyCarlos Santana in the middle of that lineup could really change their fortunes. Santana, Asdrubal, Raburn, Gomes and Aguilar can all hit lefties really well, and this 9.5 o/u indicates that Vegas is ignoring Cleveland’s struggles vs lefties, and giving them the edge on the road. Expect Indians runs today.

Value Stack

Ryan Raburn	Jesus Aguilar	Carlos Santana	Yan Gomes
$2,700	$2,800	$3,400	$2,800
Total Salary	Avg $/Player	% of Sal. Cap	Min $ Player
$11,700	$2,925	33.43%	$2,700

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Team Stack Target #2 – Detroit Tigers (-125 ML, 8 O/U)

Premium Stack

Detroit Tigers vs. Lackey – (RIGHT)
Player #1	Player #2	Player #3	Player #4
Miguel Cabrera	Ian Kinsler	Victor Martinez	Torii Hunter
$4,900	$3,300	$3,600	$3,000
Total Salary	Avg $/Player	% of Sal. Cap	Min $ Player
$14,800	$3,700	42.29%	$3,000

• John Lackey vs. LHB – 0.293 wOBA Against
• John Lackey vs. RHB – 0.328 wOBA Against

John Lackey has been owned by this current Tigers roster. The Tigers have a ton of speed and power. Lackey gives up a ton of stolen bases, and he will face Rajai Davis, Ian Kinsler, Austin Jackson and possibly Andrew Romine if he’s healthy, who can all steal bases well. The Tigers are hot, and own this pitcher, which means that they can hurt him with their legs and their power. The Tigers at home are a contrarian stack with huge upside on Sunday NIght Baseball.

Value Stack

Austin Jackson	Ian Kinsler	Nick Castellanos	Rajai Davis
$2,400	$3,300	$2,300	$3,000
Total Salary	Avg $/Player	% of Sal. Cap	Min $ Player
$11,000	$2,750	31.43%	$2,300

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Team Stack Target #3 – Milwaukee Brewers (105 ML, 7.5 O/U)

Premium Stack

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Locke – (LEFT)
Player #1	Player #2	Player #3	Player #4
Ryan Braun	Carlos Gomez	Jonathan Lucroy	Aramis Ramirez
$4,500	$4,800	$3,900	$3,200
Total Salary	Avg $/Player	% of Sal. Cap	Min $ Player
$16,400	$4,100	46.86%	$3,200

• Jeff Locke vs. LHB – 0.337 wOBA Against
• Jeff Locke vs. RHB – 0.304 wOBA Against

Jeff Locke numbers are not terrible, but he is not very good vs right handed bats. The Brewers have crushed Lefties all year, and I can see them getting to Locke. They are my number 3 stack because of the low total, but with Braun, Gomez, and Lucroy all having extremely good power vs lefties, I can see the Brew Crew teeing off on Locke and making him pay for his high walk rate. Righties are hitting over .300 vs Locke in the minors, so his awful second half from last year has carried into the minors.

Value Stack

Ryan Braun	Jean Segura	Rickie Weeks	Mark Reynolds
$4,500	$2,800	$3,000	$3,100
Total Salary	Avg $/Player	% of Sal. Cap	Min $ Player
$16,400	$4,100	46.86%	$2,800